Bavois vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
5.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
GUM
1 - 3
BAV
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BAV
2 - 3
DUR
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 1
BAV
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAV
6 - 0
POR
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SEC
0 - 3
BAV
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
THI
7 - 0
BAU
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
THI
3 - 1
GUM
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DUR
4 - 1
THI
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TPA
4 - 2
THI
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
THI
1 - 1
LAU
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |