Bavois vs St. Gallen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KRI
1 - 1
BAV
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAV
1 - 3
BAD
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BIE
0 - 1
BAV
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BAV
2 - 1
BUL
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAV
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STG
3 - 2
SCB
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
STG
2 - 2
RAP
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
3 - 1
STG
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
5 - 0
STG
62%
20%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STG
1 - 1
CHI
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |