Bavois vs Rapperswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
BAV
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BAV
1 - 1
MUN
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCZ
1 - 1
BAV
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
BAV
1 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 3
BAV
34%
23%
44%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rapperswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 1
FCV
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 5
RAP
7%
15%
79%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
1 - 0
RAP
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
0 - 4
WIN
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |