Bavois vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BUL
0 - 1
BAV
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BAV
0 - 2
GRA
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
UGS
4 - 2
BAV
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BAV
0 - 2
NAT
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FCM
1 - 2
BAV
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
YOU
1 - 1
MAR
36%
24%
39%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
BUL
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
UGS
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NAT
0 - 3
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |