Bavois vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 3
BAV
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAV
6 - 0
ROM
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAV
3 - 0
BAU
77%
14%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
USC
1 - 3
BAV
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BAV
5 - 2
BEX
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LER
3 - 1
THI
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUM
7 - 2
LER
36%
24%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LER
1 - 0
DUR
49%
21%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
LER
6 - 3
FCE
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCK
3 - 0
LER
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |