Bavois vs La Tour / Le Pâquier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
BAV
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 4
BAV
14%
20%
65%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAV
3 - 2
BUM
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LER
1 - 1
BAV
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BAU
1 - 5
BAV
9%
17%
73%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
TPA
4 - 0
POR
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GUM
1 - 1
TPA
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TPA
2 - 1
DUR
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LAU
4 - 1
TPA
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SEC
1 - 1
TPA
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |