Bavois vs Gumefens / Sorens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DUR
2 - 3
BAV
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAV
2 - 1
LAU
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
BAV
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAV
0 - 1
SEC
80%
13%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TPA
2 - 5
BAV
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Gumefens / Sorens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUM
2 - 2
THI
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAU
0 - 4
GUM
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DUR
0 - 2
GUM
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GUM
2 - 4
LAU
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GUM
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |