Bavois vs Bümpliz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LER
1 - 1
BAV
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BAU
1 - 5
BAV
9%
17%
73%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAV
3 - 2
FCS
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
THI
0 - 2
BAV
19%
21%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAV
4 - 1
GUM
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bümpliz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BUM
0 - 0
THI
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUM
2 - 2
BUM
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BUM
2 - 0
DUR
49%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LAU
5 - 1
BUM
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
BUM
2 - 1
SEC
29%
23%
49%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |