Bavenstedt vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 2
LAN
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
BAV
2 - 1
ENO
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
OYT
6 - 1
BAV
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 4
CLO
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BUC
1 - 2
BAV
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
BSV
3 - 0
VFB
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VFB
1 - 0
HAV
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
VFB
25%
22%
54%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BSV
3 - 1
VFB
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
ENO
2 - 3
VFB
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |