Bavenstedt vs Pewsum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BSV
2 - 1
BAV
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
BAV
3 - 4
AHA
70%
17%
12%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAV
17%
22%
62%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAV
5 - 0
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAV
1 - 1
LAN
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pewsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PEW
2 - 3
VFL
21%
24%
55%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BOR
2 - 0
PEW
71%
18%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PEW
2 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PEW
0 - 4
ENO
14%
19%
68%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PRH
2 - 0
PEW
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |