Bavenstedt vs Heesseler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
VFL
2 - 0
BAV
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BAV
2 - 2
BOR
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
PEW
0 - 4
BAV
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heesseler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GEL
3 - 2
HEE
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
HEE
1 - 6
LAN
18%
23%
59%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |