Bavarians FC vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
74.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavarians FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TBF
2 - 1
BFC
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 4
KHC
10%
14%
76%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ULA
5 - 1
BFC
88%
9%
4%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 8
BSI
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KHO
7 - 1
BFC
87%
8%
5%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
SPF
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KHA
0 - 0
DER
30%
22%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DER
7 - 0
ERC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DER
2 - 2
KHO
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
3 - 2
DER
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |