Bavarians FC vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+153%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavarians FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KHO
7 - 1
BFC
87%
8%
5%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 3
SPF
9%
14%
78%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KHA
5 - 1
BFC
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 4
ERC
7%
11%
82%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DER
5 - 1
BFC
88%
8%
3%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 6
SPF
10%
15%
76%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BSI
1 - 7
KHA
13%
15%
72%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ERC
3 - 0
BSI
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
BSI
1 - 6
DER
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
TBF
3 - 1
BSI
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |