KSV Baunatal vs Wolfhagen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
15º
11º
21
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EDD
1 - 2
BAU
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 2
BAU
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
SVA
2 - 1
BAU
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 2
BAU
27%
21%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 2
BAU
27%
22%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wolfhagen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
HUN
30%
23%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 3
WOL
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
4 - 0
WOL
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 3
BAY
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
3 - 0
WOL
12%
16%
71%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -2 |