DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 2-3
KSV Baunatal vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
BUR
2 - 1
BAU
35%
23%
42%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
WWO
2 - 0
BAU
64%
20%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
KFC
0 - 3
BAU
35%
23%
42%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
S04
3 - 0
BAU
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SAO
0 - 2
BAU
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
BAY
2 - 1
ULM
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
ULM
3 - 0
SAA
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
OSN
1 - 1
ULM
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
ULM
1 - 0
USO
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
SCF
0 - 3
ULM
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |