KSV Baunatal vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 1
BAU
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 2
KKA
50%
24%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
FUL
1 - 1
BAU
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
FSV
1 - 0
BAU
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
FER
1 - 3
BAY
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SWM
1 - 3
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
FER
1 - 1
KKA
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
FUL
1 - 0
FER
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |