Baumgarten vs Zwettl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
KOT
0 - 0
BAU
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
BAU
3 - 2
VIE
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
BAU
1 - 3
SVH
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
STA
4 - 2
BAU
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BAU
1 - 1
SCH
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
ZWE
0 - 3
FAC
16%
21%
63%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
KLI
2 - 1
ZWE
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
ZWE
1 - 0
SVR
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
WIE
3 - 2
ZWE
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
ZWE
3 - 1
FCW
21%
24%
55%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +5 |