Baumgarten vs Wienerberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WIE
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
BAU
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
ADM
22%
24%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +5 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
5 - 0
BAU
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wienerberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 5
OST
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SVH
4 - 2
WIE
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 2
FCW
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 4
WIE
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |