Baumgarten vs Wiener SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
SKN
2 - 0
BAU
85%
11%
5%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 2
FCW
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
KRE
2 - 0
BAU
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 1
ZWE
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
VIE
3 - 1
BAU
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wiener SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
WIE
0 - 0
SCH
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
WIE
2 - 1
NEU
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
SKN
3 - 3
WIE
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
WIE
0 - 1
FCW
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
KRE
0 - 1
WIE
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |