Baumgarten vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 2
SOL
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
FCW
4 - 1
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 5
NEU
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
5 - 1
BAU
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
4 - 5
SCH
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
NEU
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 4
SVH
35%
28%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
SVH
0 - 3
RAP
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
FAC
1 - 1
SVH
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
SVH
4 - 0
OST
64%
19%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |