Baumgarten vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
NEU
4 - 1
BAU
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
1 - 4
PUR
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STI
1 - 0
BAU
39%
25%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
3 - 0
JEN
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAU
61%
22%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STM
5 - 1
PIN
45%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STG
2 - 0
STM
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STM
1 - 0
SIG
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GUS
1 - 1
STM
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STM
1 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |