Baumgarten vs Sigleß analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
2.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
BAU
5 - 1
FCW
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
STI
1 - 0
BAU
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
BAU
4 - 4
NEU
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 6
BAU
17%
21%
63%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BAU
2 - 1
DRA
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sigleß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
SIG
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
SIG
0 - 1
KLI
18%
22%
60%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |