Baumgarten vs Schwechat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ADM
3 - 1
BAU
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 4
RAP
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
WIE
1 - 1
BAU
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 0
FAC
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 1
SCF
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 1
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 1
FAC
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
OST
1 - 1
SCH
54%
23%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 3
MAT
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RIT
3 - 0
SCH
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |