Baumgarten vs Schwechat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 3
BAU
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
BAU
1 - 2
RAP
19%
24%
58%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
EIS
2 - 0
BAU
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -3 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
RIT
1 - 1
BAU
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 0
ADM
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 4
SCH
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
WIE
5 - 1
SCH
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 1
SKN
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 1
FCW
30%
28%
43%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
KRE
3 - 4
SCH
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |