Baumgarten vs Rapid Wien II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
EIS
2 - 0
BAU
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
RIT
1 - 1
BAU
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 0
ADM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 1
NEU
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
3 - 1
BAU
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
RAP
0 - 2
SCH
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
RAP
0 - 1
WIE
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
SKN
1 - 3
RAP
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
RAP
4 - 1
FCW
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
KRE
0 - 5
RAP
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |