Baumgarten vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STI
1 - 0
BAU
39%
25%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
3 - 0
JEN
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAU
61%
22%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
BAU
3 - 1
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
BAU
1 - 2
DRA
81%
12%
8%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 2
PIN
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STG
3 - 0
PUR
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
PUR
4 - 0
SIG
78%
15%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
PUR
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PUR
4 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |