Baumgarten vs Pinkafeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2014 |
STG
0 - 1
BAU
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 1
SIG
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 1
BAU
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 3
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 4
BAU
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
DRA
4 - 4
PIN
71%
16%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 3
STG
40%
24%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
SIG
1 - 2
PIN
42%
22%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 2
GUS
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
PIN
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |