Baumgarten vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 0
BAU
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
1 - 3
ADM
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 2
BAU
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 2
WIE
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
4 - 1
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
6 - 0
ADM
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WIE
0 - 5
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 0
SCF
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
SVH
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |