Baumgarten vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
ADM
4 - 0
BAU
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
1 - 0
RAP
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +4 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 1
BAU
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
OST
5 - 0
BAU
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 1
SVH
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +4 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 3
OST
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
SVH
3 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 3
FCW
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
6 - 1
NEU
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |