Baumgarten vs Parndorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
FCW
2 - 4
BAU
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BAU
9 - 0
SCB
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAU
59%
22%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BAU
2 - 1
NEU
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
STM
3 - 2
BAU
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Parndorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 4
DRA
46%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
PUR
33%
26%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
GUS
48%
25%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |