Baumgarten vs Neuberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
AUS
0 - 0
BAU
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
BAU
2 - 2
ZWE
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
KOT
0 - 0
BAU
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
BAU
3 - 2
VIE
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
BAU
1 - 3
SVH
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Neuberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
NEU
2 - 0
FAC
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
KLI
2 - 2
NEU
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
NEU
5 - 4
SVR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
WIE
2 - 0
NEU
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
NEU
4 - 1
FCW
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |