Baumgarten vs Mattersburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SVH
0 - 0
BAU
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RIT
2 - 1
BAU
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 5
FAC
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -3 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
ZWE
1 - 3
BAU
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 3
BAU
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mattersburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
RIT
1 - 0
MAT
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
2 - 3
FCW
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
0 - 1
AUS
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
OST
0 - 0
MAT
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MAT
2 - 1
SVH
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |