Baumgarten vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 4
BAU
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
3 - 3
STM
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
NEU
4 - 1
BAU
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
1 - 4
PUR
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STI
1 - 0
BAU
39%
25%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
PIN
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
STG
3 - 2
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SIG
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 0
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -2 |