Baumgarten vs Kottingbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
VIE
2 - 0
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
BAU
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
BAU
1 - 1
FAC
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SVH
1 - 1
BAU
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
KLI
2 - 2
BAU
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kottingbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
KOT
0 - 0
FAC
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
KLI
3 - 1
KOT
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
KOT
2 - 0
SVR
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
WIE
1 - 0
KOT
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
KOT
1 - 0
KRE
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |