Baumgarten vs Austria Wien II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAT
0 - 0
BAU
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 1
SVH
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 2
SOL
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
FCW
4 - 1
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 5
NEU
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 3
SVH
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
SOL
0 - 2
AUS
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
AUS
3 - 0
SCH
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 1
AUS
23%
24%
52%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
1 - 1
FAC
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | -1 |