Bath City vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 3
BAT
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 0
TON
44%
24%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 3
DOR
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
BAT
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 1
BAT
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
WHI
1 - 2
DOR
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 3
STA
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HAY
1 - 2
WHI
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DOV
3 - 2
WHI
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
WHI
1 - 2
CHM
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |