Bath City vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BAT
3 - 2
CHM
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CHM
3 - 4
BAT
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CON
3 - 2
BAT
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 2
BAT
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BAT
1 - 4
DUL
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SWI
0 - 0
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HIG
2 - 3
SWI
24%
22%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 3
WHI
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 0
DOR
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |