Bath City vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 2
TAM
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
HAY
1 - 1
BAT
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 2
WRE
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 2
AFC
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 3
GAT
32%
23%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUT
5 - 1
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |