Bath City vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 2
BAT
49%
26%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 1
BAT
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 4
FLE
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 1
YOR
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
1 - 0
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
2 - 0
GAT
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
GAT
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
GAT
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |