Bath City vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MAI
0 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 0
CHM
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
STA
1 - 1
BAT
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GRI
0 - 2
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BAT
0 - 0
BRO
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
OXF
28%
27%
46%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
STE
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
18%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 2
FOR
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |