Bath City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 1
BAT
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 1
HOR
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TON
3 - 4
BAT
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 3
HAY
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
BAT
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 1
WHI
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HAY
3 - 2
FAR
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAV
0 - 1
FAR
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
4 - 1
TON
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
6 - 2
EAS
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |