Bath City vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AFC
4 - 0
BAT
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAT
1 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
BAT
0 - 2
WRE
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
BAT
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DAR
3 - 0
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
EAS
1 - 1
DAR
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
DAR
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DAR
2 - 0
GAT
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 1
GRI
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |