Bath City vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 3
BAT
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
HEM
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 3
BAT
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAT
4 - 0
EAS
29%
23%
47%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 0
HEM
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
HEM
1 - 1
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 0
OXF
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STA
1 - 2
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |