Bath City vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
BAT
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 0
HAV
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 1
MAI
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 3
BUR
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 1
BAT
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BIL
1 - 1
HOR
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
BIL
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HAY
4 - 2
BIL
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BIL
2 - 1
WHI
53%
23%
23%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BIL
1 - 4
LOW
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |