Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-2
BATE Borisov vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 0
TOR
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
BAT
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 3
DNM
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
NEM
1 - 2
BAT
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 1
DIN
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
MET
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SHK
1 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
REN
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
RAB
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |