BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
8º
4º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 0
BAT
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
BAT
0 - 2
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 1
SLA
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
BAT
28%
27%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 2
TOR
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FKS
3 - 1
NAF
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 0
NAF
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
ISL
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TOR
5 - 0
NAF
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |