BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
DNP
2 - 1
BAT
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 1
MIN
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 2
DIN
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NEM
2 - 1
BAT
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 0
BEL
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
NAF
0 - 0
NEM
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAF
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
NAF
0 - 0
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
DNM
1 - 1
NAF
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NAF
0 - 2
TOR
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |