BATE Borisov vs Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
12º
11º
18
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BAT
2 - 0
IST
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 30 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DMM
0 - 5
BAT
3%
9%
88%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
BAT
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 2
DNM
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 1
MIN
35%
25%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 2
NEM
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NEF
4 - 2
MIN
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
MIN
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
SOK
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |