Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 1-12
BATE Borisov vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
NAF
0 - 4
BAT
25%
24%
52%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
BAT
2 - 1
MOL
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1999 |
TKA
1 - 3
BAT
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
BAT
3 - 1
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1999 |
DNM
1 - 0
BAT
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
LOK
1 - 1
ZHE
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
SAT
1 - 1
LOK
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
LOK
3 - 1
LNN
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
TOR
2 - 4
LOK
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
LOK
5 - 1
ROT
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |