BATE Borisov vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 2
BAT
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BAT
1 - 1
ZOR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
BAT
4 - 0
FKS
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NEM
0 - 0
BAT
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
DSP
1 - 2
BAT
11%
16%
73%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
DNP
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
FKA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FKA
3 - 2
SLA
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
LID
1 - 3
FKA
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 2
SHA
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |